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Creators/Authors contains: "Humphreys, Elyn"

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  1. Chen, Jing M (Ed.)
    The Arctic is warming faster than anywhere else on Earth, placing tundra ecosystems at the forefront of global climate change. Plant biomass is a fundamental ecosystem attribute that is sensitive to changes in climate, closely tied to ecological function, and crucial for constraining ecosystem carbon dynamics. However, the amount, functional composition, and distribution of plant biomass are only coarsely quantified across the Arctic. Therefore, we developed the first moderate resolution (30 m) maps of live aboveground plant biomass (g m− 2) and woody plant dominance (%) for the Arctic tundra biome, including the mountainous Oro Arctic. We modeled biomass for the year 2020 using a new synthesis dataset of field biomass harvest measurements, Landsat satellite seasonal synthetic composites, ancillary geospatial data, and machine learning models. Additionally, we quantified pixel-wise uncertainty in biomass predictions using Monte Carlo simulations and validated the models using a robust, spatially blocked and nested cross-validation procedure. Observed plant and woody plant biomass values ranged from 0 to ~6000 g m− 2 (mean ≈350 g m− 2), while predicted values ranged from 0 to ~4000 g m− 2 (mean ≈275 g m− 2), resulting in model validation root-mean-squared-error (RMSE) ≈400 g m− 2 and R2 ≈ 0.6. Our maps not only capture large-scale patterns of plant biomass and woody plant dominance across the Arctic that are linked to climatic variation (e.g., thawing degree days), but also illustrate how fine-scale patterns are shaped by local surface hydrology, topography, and past disturbance. By providing data on plant biomass across Arctic tundra ecosystems at the highest resolution to date, our maps can significantly advance research and inform decision-making on topics ranging from Arctic vegetation monitoring and wildlife conservation to carbon accounting and land surface modeling 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available June 1, 2026
  2. Abstract Plant biomass is a fundamental ecosystem attribute that is sensitive to rapid climatic changes occurring in the Arctic. Nevertheless, measuring plant biomass in the Arctic is logistically challenging and resource intensive. Lack of accessible field data hinders efforts to understand the amount, composition, distribution, and changes in plant biomass in these northern ecosystems. Here, we presentThe Arctic plant aboveground biomass synthesis dataset, which includes field measurements of lichen, bryophyte, herb, shrub, and/or tree aboveground biomass (g m−2) on 2,327 sample plots from 636 field sites in seven countries. We created the synthesis dataset by assembling and harmonizing 32 individual datasets. Aboveground biomass was primarily quantified by harvesting sample plots during mid- to late-summer, though tree and often tall shrub biomass were quantified using surveys and allometric models. Each biomass measurement is associated with metadata including sample date, location, method, data source, and other information. This unique dataset can be leveraged to monitor, map, and model plant biomass across the rapidly warming Arctic. 
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  3. na (Ed.)
    Environmental observation networks, such as AmeriFlux, are foundational for monitoring ecosystem response to climate change, management practices, and natural disturbances; however, their effectiveness depends on their representativeness for the regions or continents. We proposed an empirical, time series approach to quantify the similarity of ecosystem fluxes across AmeriFlux sites. We extracted the diel and seasonal characteristics (i.e., amplitudes, phases) from carbon dioxide, water vapor, energy, and momentum fluxes, which reflect the effects of climate, plant phenology, and ecophysiology on the observations, and explored the potential aggregations of AmeriFlux sites through hierarchical clustering. While net radiation and temperature showed latitudinal clustering as expected, flux variables revealed a more uneven clustering with many small (number of sites < 5), unique groups and a few large (> 100) to intermediate (15–70) groups, highlighting the significant ecological regulations of ecosystem fluxes. Many identified unique groups were from under-sampled ecoregions and biome types of the International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme (IGBP), with distinct flux dynamics compared to the rest of the network. At the finer spatial scale, local topography, disturbance, management, edaphic, and hydrological regimes further enlarge the difference in flux dynamics within the groups. Nonetheless, our clustering approach is a data-driven method to interpret the AmeriFlux network, informing future cross-site syntheses, upscaling, and model-data benchmarking research. Finally, we highlighted the unique and underrepresented sites in the AmeriFlux network, which were found mainly in Hawaii and Latin America, mountains, and at under- sampled IGBP types (e.g., urban, open water), motivating the incorporation of new/unregistered sites from these groups. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available September 1, 2026
  4. Abstract Tundra and boreal ecosystems encompass the northern circumpolar permafrost region and are experiencing rapid environmental change with important implications for the global carbon (C) budget. We analysed multi-decadal time series containing 302 annual estimates of carbon dioxide (CO2) flux across 70 permafrost and non-permafrost ecosystems, and 672 estimates of summer CO2flux across 181 ecosystems. We find an increase in the annual CO2sink across non-permafrost ecosystems but not permafrost ecosystems, despite similar increases in summer uptake. Thus, recent non-growing-season CO2losses have substantially impacted the CO2balance of permafrost ecosystems. Furthermore, analysis of interannual variability reveals warmer summers amplify the C cycle (increase productivity and respiration) at putatively nitrogen-limited sites and at sites less reliant on summer precipitation for water use. Our findings suggest that water and nutrient availability will be important predictors of the C-cycle response of these ecosystems to future warming. 
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  5. This dataset provides estimates of live, oven-dried aboveground biomass of all plants (tree, shrub, graminoid, forb, bryophyte) and all woody plants (tree, shrub) at 30-meter resolution across the Arctic tundra biome. Estimates of woody plant dominance are also provided as: (woody plant biomass / plant biomass) * 100. Plant biomass and woody plant biomass were estimated for each pixel (grams per square meter [g / m2]) using field harvest data for calibration/validation along with modeled seasonal surface reflectance data derived using Landsat satellite imagery and the Continuous Change Detection and Classification algorithm, and other supplementary predictors related to topography, region (e.g. bioclimate zone, ecosystem type), land cover, and derivative spectral products. Modeling was performed in a two-stage process using random forest models. First, biomass presence/absence was predicted using probability forests. Then, biomass quantity was predicted using regression forests. The model outputs were combined to produce final biomass estimates. Pixel uncertainty was assessed using Monte Carlo iterations. Field and remote sensing data were permuted during each iteration and the median (50th percentile, p500) predictions for each pixel were considered best estimates. In addition, this dataset provides the lower (2.5th percentile, p025) and upper (97.5th percentile, p975) bounds of a 95% uncertainty interval. Estimates of woody plant dominance are not modeled directly, but rather derived from plant biomass and woody plant biomass best estimates. The Pan Arctic domain includes both the Polar Arctic, defined using bioclimate zone data from the Circumpolar Arctic Vegetation Mapping Project (CAVM; Walker et al., 2005), and the Oro Arctic (treeless alpine tundra at high latitudes outside the Polar Arctic), defined using tundra ecoregions from the RESOLVE ecoregions dataset (Dinerstein et al., 2017) and treeline data from CAVM (CAVM Team, 2003). The mapped products focus on Arctic tundra vegetation biomass, but the coarse delineation of this biome meant some forested areas were included within the study domain. Therefore, this dataset also provides a tree mask product that can be used to mask out areas with canopy height ≥ 5 meters. This mask helps reduce, but does not eliminate entirely, areas of dense tree cover within the domain. Users should be cautious of predictions in forested areas as the models used to predict biomass were not well constrained in these areas. This dataset includes 132 files: 128 cloud-optimized GeoTIFFs, 2 tables in comma-separated values (CSV) format, 1 vector polygon in Shapefile format, and one figure in JPEG format. Raster data is provided in the WGS 84 / North Pole LAEA Bering Sea projection (EPSG:3571) at 30 meter (m) resolution. Raster data are tiled with letters representing rows and numbers representing columns, but note that some tiles do not contain unmasked pixels. We included all tiles nonetheless to maintain consistency. Tiling information can be found in the ‘metadata’ directory as a figure (JPEG) or shapefile. 
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  6. Abstract Accounting for temporal changes in carbon dioxide (CO2) effluxes from freshwaters remains a challenge for global and regional carbon budgets. Here, we synthesize 171 site-months of flux measurements of CO2based on the eddy covariance method from 13 lakes and reservoirs in the Northern Hemisphere, and quantify dynamics at multiple temporal scales. We found pronounced sub-annual variability in CO2flux at all sites. By accounting for diel variation, only 11% of site-months were net daily sinks of CO2. Annual CO2emissions had an average of 25% (range 3%–58%) interannual variation. Similar to studies on streams, nighttime emissions regularly exceeded daytime emissions. Biophysical regulations of CO2flux variability were delineated through mutual information analysis. Sample analysis of CO2fluxes indicate the importance of continuous measurements. Better characterization of short- and long-term variability is necessary to understand and improve detection of temporal changes of CO2fluxes in response to natural and anthropogenic drivers. Our results indicate that existing global lake carbon budgets relying primarily on daytime measurements yield underestimates of net emissions. 
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  7. Plant biomass is a fundamental ecosystem attribute that is sensitive to rapid climatic changes occurring in the Arctic. Nevertheless, measuring plant biomass in the Arctic is logistically challenging and resource intensive. Lack of accessible field data hinders efforts to understand the amount, composition, distribution, and changes in plant biomass in these northern ecosystems. Here, we present The Arctic Plant Aboveground Biomass Synthesis Dataset, which includes field measurements of lichen, bryophyte, herb, shrub, and/or tree aboveground biomass grams per meter squared (g/m^2) on 2327 sample plots in seven countries. We created the synthesis dataset by assembling and harmonizing 32 individual datasets. Aboveground biomass was primarily quantified by harvesting sample plots during mid- to late-summer, though tree and often tall shrub biomass were quantified using surveys and allometric models. Each biomass measurement is associated with metadata including sample date, location, method, data source, and other information. This unique dataset can be leveraged to monitor, map, and model plant biomass across the rapidly warming Arctic. 
    more » « less